As the 2025 legislative session approaches, significant changes are anticipated following the upcoming November elections, which will determine key state offices and the composition of the legislature. With 18 current members opting not to seek reelection, a turnover of approximately 30% is expected, introducing many new faces. However, despite this influx of newcomers, a major political shift is unlikely, as Democrats currently hold a majority in both the Senate (29-20) and the House (58-40).
The elections will also feature four initiatives on the ballot, three of which could have substantial budget implications. These include a repeal of the capital gains tax, which funds education and school construction; a repeal of the Climate Commitment Act, a key revenue source for the 2022 Move Ahead Washington package; and a proposal to make the Long Term Care Act optional, which would require alternative funding sources if continued. The fourth initiative pertains to directives for Puget Sound Energy's transition from natural gas to electricity, which does not carry significant budget implications.
Following the elections, further changes are expected as several senators running for statewide offices could lead to additional appointments to fill their legislative seats. Additionally, some legislators have indicated plans to retire, prompting further appointments.
The legislative process will also undergo a \"committee on committees\" phase, where new committee assignments will be made, potentially reshaping how bills progress through the legislature. This biennial process could lead to the consolidation or elimination of committees, impacting legislative operations significantly.
The 2025 session is set to last 105 days, marking the beginning of a new legislative biennium, and will be closely watched as these developments unfold.