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Hurricane threat looms as models show conflicting paths

October 07, 2024 | Nassau County, Florida


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Hurricane threat looms as models show conflicting paths
In a recent emergency management meeting, officials discussed the potential impact of an approaching storm, emphasizing the need for preparedness as forecasts indicate varying paths for the system. Two weather models, the GFS and European models, currently show differing predictions, with the National Hurricane Center suggesting a track that lies between the two. This uncertainty necessitates a dual-preparation strategy for both northern and southern paths of the storm.

Concerns were raised about the possibility of hurricane-force winds affecting areas between Jacksonville and St. Augustine if the storm follows the northern track. Officials noted that the storm is expected to maintain its hurricane status as it crosses the state, although it is projected to be a fast-moving system, which could lead to quicker recovery once it moves offshore.

The timing of the storm's impact is anticipated between Wednesday morning and Wednesday evening, with officials cautioning that conditions could change rapidly. Decisions regarding school closures and shelter openings will be made based on the evolving forecast. Emergency management plans include the establishment of at least one shelter in Nassau County, with a preference for an east-side location to mitigate the effects of coastal winds.

Officials reiterated their commitment to providing transportation to shelters for those in need, despite some community feedback regarding shelter locations. The meeting concluded with a reminder that all forecasts are subject to change, and ongoing monitoring will be essential as the storm approaches.

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