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Utah faces explosive population growth and housing challenges

November 01, 2023 | Taylorsville City Council, Taylorsville, Salt Lake County, Utah


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Utah faces explosive population growth and housing challenges
In a recent government meeting, officials discussed the projected population growth in Utah over the next 40 years, highlighting significant implications for urban planning and community resources. Salt Lake County is expected to add nearly 500,000 residents, bringing its total population to approximately 1.7 million. This growth rate is notably slower than the previous four decades, which saw an increase of around 600,000 people, primarily due to limited available land.

Utah County is anticipated to experience faster growth, attributed to its larger supply of vacant land. The combined statistical area of Salt Lake, Ogden, and Provo is projected to grow by about 1.5 million people, potentially raising the total population to around 4.2 million.

A demographic analysis presented during the meeting revealed a shift in the age distribution of the population. The traditional pyramid shape of the population cohort model is evolving into a more columnar structure, indicating a significant increase in the older population while the number of younger residents remains relatively stable. This trend raises concerns regarding housing, transportation, and community services as the population ages.

The meeting also addressed the challenges of accommodating this growth within Salt Lake County, which is already densely populated. An aerial view from 2020 illustrated the limited vacant land available for development, with most of the remaining space owned by mining operations. Officials expressed concerns about how to integrate an additional 500,000 people into the existing infrastructure.

Specifically, the city of Taylorsville, currently home to about 60,000 residents, could see its population rise to over 83,000 if it maintains its current share of the county's population. This raises questions about the feasibility of accommodating such growth within the city's boundaries, especially given its proximity to Salt Lake City and the regional transportation network.

The discussions underscored the urgent need for strategic planning to address the anticipated demographic shifts and the associated challenges in housing, infrastructure, and community services as Utah prepares for a significant population increase in the coming decades.

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