Rising storm intensity drives up insurance costs

In a recent government meeting, officials discussed the rising costs of reinsurance and homeowners insurance in Texas, particularly in relation to the increasing frequency and severity of storms. The conversation highlighted the unique challenges faced by North Texas, which experiences a higher incidence of tornadoes compared to other regions, and how this risk is subsidized by other areas of the state, such as West Texas, which is more prone to wildfires.

Paul, a panelist, emphasized that the two main factors driving reinsurance costs are the expected loss due to storm frequency and severity, as well as the rising costs of building materials and labor. He pointed out that comparisons of reinsurance rates to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) are misleading, as they do not accurately reflect the inflation in building supplies, which significantly impacts future loss costs.

The discussion also touched on the dramatic increase in home prices in Travis County, which have risen by 136% over the past decade. This surge in property values contributes to higher insurance premiums, regardless of storm frequency. Panelists noted that while climatological data informs expectations of future storm activity, the consistent rise in severe thunderstorms over the last 20 years presents a unique challenge for insurance providers.

The meeting concluded with a commitment to continue these discussions in a follow-up session scheduled for September 17, where further insights into wildfire risks and insurance implications are expected to be explored.