In a recent government meeting, key economic indicators were discussed, highlighting a mixed outlook for the economy. Inflation appears to be decreasing, while unemployment has shown signs of rising short-term rates, prompting some economists to suggest that the Federal Reserve should consider measures to support the economy.
The meeting also addressed global market dynamics, particularly the impact of Japan's recent decision to raise interest rates from 0% to 0.25%. This shift has reportedly led to a significant $7 trillion drawdown in worldwide markets, indicating that investor sentiment is heavily influenced by central bank policies rather than company performance. The discussion emphasized the volatility in equity markets, with a notable spike in the VIX index, which measures market fear, reflecting a potential shift in investor behavior.
Concerns were raised about the stability of electricity supplies as demand surges due to advancements in artificial intelligence and electric vehicles. The meeting noted that major tech companies, including Microsoft, have significantly increased their electricity consumption, raising questions about the capacity of the current electrical grid to meet future demands.
Investment performance was also a focal point, with large-cap stocks showing positive returns, particularly in technology sectors. However, mid-cap and small-cap stocks lagged behind. The meeting concluded with a review of the portfolio's performance, which has yielded impressive returns over the past year, outperforming many public funds.
Overall, the discussions underscored the interconnectedness of global markets, the importance of stable economic policies, and the need for infrastructure readiness in the face of growing technological demands.