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Johns Hopkins study identifies key dropout indicators for middle school students

May 11, 2023 | Maryland Department of Education, School Boards, Maryland


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Johns Hopkins study identifies key dropout indicators for middle school students
During a recent meeting held by the Maryland State Department of Education (MSDE), educators and administrators discussed the critical need for early intervention strategies to support middle school students at risk of dropping out. The session, part of the Virtual Ready For High School Charette, emphasized the importance of identifying warning signs early in a student's academic journey.

A key focus of the discussion was the research conducted by Bob Balfanz from Johns Hopkins University, which highlights three primary indicators—attendance, behavior, and course performance—known as the "ABCs" of student success. The data revealed that students who show signs of trouble in sixth grade, such as poor attendance or failing grades, have significantly lower chances of graduating on time. Specifically, those with just one indicator face only a 15 to 25 percent chance of timely graduation.

The meeting underscored the urgency of implementing an Early Warning System (EWS) that allows educators to identify at-risk students quickly and provide tailored interventions. This system aims to foster collaboration among teachers, parents, and the community to ensure that students receive the support they need when they need it. The proposed framework includes tiered interventions designed to address the varying needs of students, from general support for all to specific strategies for individual students.

Participants stressed that timely and effective interventions could dramatically improve student outcomes. The meeting concluded with a call to action for schools to adopt these strategies and ensure that middle schools are equipped with the necessary resources and training to implement them effectively.

As Maryland continues to refine its educational strategies, the focus on early intervention represents a significant step toward improving graduation rates and ensuring that all students have the opportunity to succeed.

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