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Research highlights high school GPA as key predictor of postsecondary success

September 26, 2023 | Maryland Department of Education, School Boards, Maryland


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Research highlights high school GPA as key predictor of postsecondary success
High school GPA emerged as a critical predictor of post-secondary success during the Maryland State Board of Education meeting on September 26, 2023. The discussion highlighted that students' academic performance in high school consistently correlates with their progress in college and career paths.

The analysis presented focused on the College and Career Readiness (CCR) standards, primarily assessing data from students at the end of grade 10. However, supplementary evaluations at the end of grade 12 yielded similar conclusions, reinforcing the importance of GPA as a reliable indicator of future academic achievement.

While the findings were largely positive for students transitioning directly to college, the discussion took a turn when examining those who entered the workforce immediately after high school. The results for this group were mixed, suggesting a need for further investigation. Notably, the data indicated that very few graduates secure full-time employment that meets minimum wage standards, raising concerns about the accuracy of the career progress benchmarks.

The board acknowledged the complexities surrounding these findings, particularly the skepticism regarding employment outcomes for high school graduates. As the meeting concluded, members emphasized the necessity for ongoing research to better understand the factors influencing career readiness and success for students who do not pursue higher education immediately after graduation.

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