Susan Heegard discusses demographic trends and policy implications for North Dakota education

The North Dakota Higher Education Institutions Committee convened on August 22, 2025, to discuss critical trends and challenges facing the state's higher education landscape. A key focus of the meeting was the projected demographic changes and their implications for college enrollment in North Dakota.

Susan Heegard, President of the Midwestern Higher Education Compact, presented insights on population growth and enrollment trends. She highlighted that North Dakota is expected to see a 36% increase in population from 2020 to 2050, with growth across all age groups. However, she warned of a looming "demographic cliff," where a decline in traditional college-age students is anticipated due to lower birth rates following the Great Recession. This decline is expected to begin in the mid-2020s, raising concerns about future enrollment levels.

Heegard emphasized the importance of understanding these trends in the context of North Dakota's unique position compared to neighboring states. While North Dakota is projected to fare better than many Midwestern states, which are expected to see overall population declines, the challenge remains to retain incoming students. Strategies to enhance student retention were discussed, including improving quality of life, job opportunities, and community engagement.

The committee also explored the significance of demographic diversity in the state's educational landscape. Heegard noted that while the overall population is growing, the increase is largely driven by non-white populations, which historically have lower college enrollment rates. This underscores the need for targeted strategies to support these groups, such as internships and dual enrollment programs.

In conclusion, the meeting underscored the importance of proactive measures to address the anticipated enrollment challenges and to leverage North Dakota's demographic growth for the benefit of its higher education institutions. The committee's discussions will inform future policies aimed at ensuring the sustainability and effectiveness of higher education in the state.