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District projects flat enrollment after Oct. 1 count of 4,896; demographic and development factors discussed
Summary
District staff presented October enrollment projections showing an Oct. 1 count of 4,896 students (including CTC) and projected only modest change over the next five years; staff explained birth rates, cohort-survival methodology and the lag between local development and student enrollment.
At the Oct. 13 work session, the Cornwall-Lebanon district presented its annual enrollment-projection analysis, anchored to the Oct. 1 student count and longer-term birth-rate data.
Staff said the district’s Oct. 1, 2025 enrollment was 4,896 students (including the CTC program, excluding outside cyber); projections through the next five years show overall flat enrollment with a modest decline over a 10-year…
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