District staff told the Grain Valley R-V Board of Education that overall enrollment remains largely unchanged from recent years but that growth in students with high special-education needs is consuming classroom space and altering capacity calculations.
The district reported 4,467 students as of Oct. 1, down 18 from the prior year (a record high year). Elementary enrollment (K–5) is at 1,901 students and the district estimates elementary capacity overall at about 93 percent, with Matthews at 96 percent. Staff said the district uses a 90 percent threshold to trigger consideration of a new elementary school, and that recalculated capacities—driven in part by expanded high-need special-education programs—have lowered the red-line thresholds used in long-range planning.
Staff recommended focusing near-term capital attention on modest additions to one or more elementary schools (or targeted additions across several schools) and a small addition plus renovation for the Early Childhood Center, rather than building a new elementary school immediately. High-school enrollment reached a new high with 1,523 students and is above the district's calculated "instructional capacity" (1,462 students). Staff noted that high-school capacity pressures are real but can be managed for now through phased renovation and by prioritizing elementary needs first.
Why it matters: Rising numbers and increasing severity of special-education needs are changing how the district measures usable classroom space, shifting short-term facility pressure to elementary grades even while the high school remains large. Board members were told that addressing high-need programs' space needs is the primary driver for proposed elementary additions.
Next steps: Staff said they will present recommended ballot language and a refined facilities plan in the coming months; board members asked for continued monitoring and for staff to preserve flexibility in sequencing projects.