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Demographic and housing analysis forecasts Cedar Hill ISD enrollment stabilizing near 5,800; charter growth and voucher policy flagged as risks
Summary
Consultant Bob Templeton of Zonda presented demographic and housing data showing modest new home development, a declining capture rate of school‑age children, and projections that district enrollment could settle near 5,800 students; charters and an upcoming voucher program could reduce traditional public school enrollment.
Bob Templeton of Zonda presented a demographic and housing analysis and October‑year enrollment projections to the Cedar Hill ISD Board of Trustees.
Templeton said the district’s total population within its boundary is about 53,379 people across roughly 18,000 households, with a median age near 37.3. He reported the district’s capture rate of resident school‑age children attending Cedar Hill ISD has fallen from about 70% in 2010 to roughly 56% in 2024, a decline he attributed primarily to expanded school choice — charter schools and transfers to neighboring districts.
Housing activity…
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