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Demographers tell trustees regeneration stabilizes neighborhoods; new housing drives growth
Summary
Population and Survey Analysts (PASA) presented the enrollment‑projection methodology to trustees, explaining why older neighborhoods may stabilize or decline even as some subareas continue new construction and growth.
Population and Survey Analysts, the district’s demographic partner, gave an in‑depth presentation on enrollment methodology and scenarios, telling trustees that regeneration of existing neighborhoods typically results in stabilization rather than a return to earlier peak student densities.
PASA lead Stacy Tapara said the firm will return with updated projections in October and described the firm’s multi‑step approach: analyze births to mothers living in the district, geocode existing student addresses, calculate students‑per‑home ratios for neighborhoods, assess planned and potential new housing, and estimate the effect of alternative educational options (charter,…
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