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Moat Casey analysis to Keller ISD board: east/west split reallocates existing state and local revenue; costs, debt not modeled
Summary
Moat Casey presented a revenue-only model of a proposed east/west split of Keller ISD, concluding the two successor districts’ combined M&O revenue would roughly match current combined revenues but that one portion would receive higher M&O per student because of student demographics.
Moat Casey (Josh Haney) presented a revenue-focused analysis to the board on Jan. 30 that modeled the financial impact of a hypothetical east/west detachment of Keller ISD using 2023–24 student counts and property values.
What the model found - Combined revenue parity: Using 2023–24 data and the proposed boundary, Moat Casey concluded the combined state and local M&O revenues of the two successor districts would roughly equal the district’s current combined M&O revenue — in other words, the firm modeled a reallocation rather than a creation of new revenue. - Per-student…
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