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External analysis finds ninth-grade credits, ELA and Algebra grades predict senior attendance and GPA
Summary
A Summit Education Initiative analysis presented to the Cuyahoga Falls Board of Education identified earning five or more ninth‑grade credits, higher grades in ELA 10 and Algebra I as the strongest predictors of twelfth‑grade attendance and GPA and recommended expanding sample size and targeted interventions.
A data analysis presented to the Cuyahoga Falls Board of Education on May 14 identified students earning five or more credits in ninth grade as the single strongest predictor of higher attendance and GPA in twelfth grade.
The study, conducted by the Summit Education Initiative and presented by an SEI researcher, examined attendance, graduation and GPA outcomes alongside achievement predictors including credits earned in ninth grade, course grades in Algebra I and ELA, and demographic factors. The presenter said, “earning 5 or more credits in ninth grade was the most powerful predictor in all of these models.”
Why it matters: the board heard that ninth‑grade course accumulation and…
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