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NRCS May 1 forecast shows Southern Utah runoff in bottom percentiles; state officials warned of dry soils
Summary
At a Utah Board of Water Resources meeting, the NRCS Utah Snow Survey reported May 1 streamflow forecasts that put much of Southern Utah in the lowest percentiles for runoff, citing low April precipitation and dry soils as key sources of forecast error.
Jordan Clayton, supervisor of the Utah Snow Survey for the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Natural Resources Conservation Service, told the Utah Board of Water Resources that May 1 streamflow forecasts show much of Southern Utah in the bottom 15% of historical runoff.
Clayton said the May 1 April–July streamflow forecast “shows nearly all the Southern Utah predictions are expected to be in that bottom 15% of our observations,” and highlighted specific forecast points in the region: South Creek near Monticello at about 7% of average, the Virgin River near Hurricane at roughly 24% of average, and several smaller creeks…
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