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Demographer: new‑home starts and changing product mix slowing district growth; forecast shows potential multi‑year enrollment decline
Summary
Zonda Demographics presented data showing fewer deed transactions and a shift to smaller single‑family and townhome products in Lewisville ISD that yield fewer school‑age children; the presenter offered a base and a lower‑growth forecast that could reduce district enrollment over the next decade.
A regional demographer told the Lewisville ISD board that a slowdown in new housing starts, a shift in the types of homes being built and low finished‑vacant inventories are reducing the district’s pipeline of new students.
Rocky Gosh of Zonda Demographics reviewed fourth‑quarter housing and development data for the LISD footprint. Gosh said deed transactions in Lewisville totaled about 2,600 for the year — the smallest turnover level the firm has recorded in more than a decade — and that average new‑home sale prices in the district are near $800,000. He described the recent…
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