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UW–Madison demographer: Sun Prairie Area School District enrollment may fall 2% or rise 6% over five years
Summary
David Egan Robertson of the UW–Madison Population Laboratory presented four projection scenarios showing districtwide enrollment could decline about 2% or increase about 6% in five years; impacts vary by grade band with elementary stable, middle school possibly declining and high school showing the largest potential gain.
David Egan Robertson, of the UW–Madison Population Laboratory, presented enrollment projections for the Sun Prairie Area School District and said the models show the district’s total enrollment could fall about 2 percent or rise about 6 percent over the next five years. "We produce a range of projections and this is to reflect uncertainty in projections," Robertson said.
The presentation summarized the district’s past decade and the four projection models the lab produced. Over the past 10 years the district added roughly 470 students, about a 6 percent increase, Robertson said. He showed century-long patterns by grade band: 4K declined by about 70 students (roughly 14 percent), kindergarten through fifth grade declined about 100 students (about 3…
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