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RSP projections: Plainfield SD 202 likely to see elementary and middle growth, high‑school decline; administrators to begin boundary analysis
Summary
An RSP demographic forecast presented March 19 found Plainfield SD 202 likely to see elementary and middle‑school enrollment increases over the next five years while high‑school enrollment declines as large senior cohorts graduate; the district will begin boundary analysis this spring to address building‑level capacity pressures.
Rob Schwartz, CEO of RSP and Associates, presented updated enrollment projections to the Board’s site and finance committee March 19, saying the analysis shows modest growth at the elementary and middle levels over the next five years, with a projected decline in high‑school enrollment driven by larger outgoing senior cohorts.
Key findings Schwartz discussed: the district’s incoming kindergarten cohorts are smaller than recent senior classes, but positive net migration and new housing development within district boundaries are expected to generate elementary and middle‑school growth; projected increases concentrated in northern and western attendance areas. RSP’s model incorporated live‑birth data, building permits/certificates of occupancy, housing type (single‑family vs. multifamily)…
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