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Regional mobility plan update: model tweaks and large revenue shortfall reshape cost‑feasible plan
Summary
CRTPA staff and consultants reported model issues and a major downward revision in expected state/federal revenues, leaving a roughly $500 million gap between prioritized project costs and forecasted funding and limiting the cost‑feasible plan to only a few top projects.
Consultants and staff told the CRTPA on June 16 that modeling refinements and updated revenue forecasts have dramatically reduced the region’s projected available state and federal funds, forcing the agency to narrow the cost‑feasible long‑range plan. Franco Saracino, principal at Kittleson and Associates, and Hector Castro (CRTPA staff) reported that the project prioritization phase is underway and that staff will return with a draft cost‑feasible plan for adoption in November. Franco said the project list for top priorities—Crawfordville Road, Orange Avenue, Pensacola Road and Woodville Highway—amounts to roughly $400,000,000 in present‑day project costs for those top boxes alone. He said…
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