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Consultant: District enrollment likely to hold near 6,100; housing data could change outlook

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Summary

The Pennsylvania Economy League presented preliminary enrollment projections to the Boyertown Area School District, saying population and housing growth have not produced a proportional rise in school-age children and that final projections await municipal housing data.

The Pennsylvania Economy League told the Boyertown Area School District Board of School Directors on July 20 that preliminary enrollment projections show roughly stable district enrollment around 6,100 students over the next decade but that final numbers will change once municipal housing data are received. The presentation outlined the methodology and drivers behind the forecast and said the firm will return with a final report within about a month.

The consultant, Vinny Cannizzaro, executive director of the Pennsylvania Economy League, said his nonprofit uses demographic trends, housing construction, birth counts and historical grade-to-grade progression ratios to model likely enrollments. "We look at population, housing, trends…

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