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EEC data shows nearly 260,000 child‑care seats, uneven regional access and rising infant/toddler capacity

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Summary

EEC presented supply‑and‑demand estimates from a CUSP model showing nearly 260,000 licensed and funded seats statewide, 17,000 new seats over two years, regional variation in capacity and defined access deserts where supply lags population by 3:1 or worse.

The Department of Early Education and Care told the Data Advisory Commission that total licensed and funded capacity in Massachusetts is nearing 260,000 seats, with about 17,000 new seats added over the last two years. Michelle Sonnier, a data analyst at EEC, presented statewide and regional capacity estimates and a supply‑and‑demand model developed with Third Sector Intelligence (3SI) called CUSP (Child Universal Success Platform).

“Total capacity in red, which currently is nearly 260,000 seats,” Michelle Sonnier said while presenting the dashboard. She showed that infant and toddler capacity has seen the fastest percentage growth but remains substantially smaller in absolute seats than preschool and school‑age capacity.

EEC used CUSP to combine agency administrative data and census information to estimate enrollment and non‑enrollment across age groups and regions. Sonnier said regional capacity relative to population varies from as low as about 48 percent in the Southeast to roughly 60 percent in the metropolitan region. The commission heard that the agency visualizes “access deserts” where the ratio of children to licensed or funded formal seats exceeds 3 to 1; darker map areas indicate ratios as severe as 10 to 1.

Sonnier cautioned that the map does not show informal care such as friend‑and‑neighbor arrangements, only formal EEC‑licensed or funded providers. The commission discussed gaps between reported capacity and actual family enrollment, and asked staff to analyze whether barriers are administrative (for example, verification or voucher processing) or financial (private payability). EEC staff said further analysis and follow‑up will be provided at future meetings.

The session also noted that CUSP output has been used to inform procurement for contracted provider systems and work by the Early Education and Child Care Interagency Task Force.