County staff warn federal SNAP, Medicaid changes could shift large costs to Clay County

5404177 · July 16, 2025

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Summary

At the July 15 Clay County Board of Commissioners meeting, social services staff outlined how recent federal reconciliation legislation will require new work and verification rules and reduce federal administrative funding for SNAP and Medicaid, potentially increasing local workload and costs.

Quinn, a social services staff member, told the Clay County Board of Commissioners on July 15 that recent federal reconciliation legislation (HR 1) will shift substantial administrative responsibility and cost from the federal government to states and counties and will change eligibility and verification rules for both Medicaid (medical assistance) and SNAP (food assistance).

Quinn said the changes include new work requirements for many adults on Medicaid, more frequent eligibility renewals and residency checks, and reductions in federal administrative reimbursements for SNAP and Medicaid. “The expected impacts will be reduced services, a higher local administrative cost, an increase in denied services, and a result of increased workload for our county staff,” Quinn said.

Why it matters: Clay County administers programs on behalf of the state. At the time of the presentation Quinn reported 16,357 Clay County residents were enrolled in Medicaid (about 9,000 regular cases and roughly 1,000 long-term care cases). Quinn warned that if the state absorbs less federal support counties could be required to add staff or cut services.

Details of proposed changes and timing - Medical assistance (Medicaid): the bill requires states to implement work requirements for adults 19–64 (with several exemptions) and directs states to put guidance to the federal government by 06/01/2026; systems to support verification must be in place by the end of 2026; the work requirement itself would not take effect until 01/01/2029, Quinn said. Quinn also said current retroactive coverage for Medicaid (three months) would be cut to one month effective in the fall. - Renewals and verification: Medicaid cases that are renewed annually today would require redeterminations every six months under the new law; Quinn said the county’s eligibility system (METS) does not currently have the fields to capture the new work-verification data and that building or modifying that functionality will be required. - SNAP (food assistance): Quinn said the federal package reduces SNAP administrative reimbursement from about 50% to 25% beginning 10/01/2025 and will add other limits (for example on certain utility and internet allowances) and narrower eligibility definitions; Quinn said the reconciliation bill also contains a penalty-cost‑sharing mechanism tied to a state’s SNAP payment-error rate.

Fiscal outlook and local numbers - Quinn cited a 10‑year, federal Medicaid cut figure of $880 billion and various estimates that Minnesota could lose between roughly $330 million and $1.2–$1.4 billion annually depending on implementation choices. Quinn said a $200 million federal implementation grant is included for states in fiscal 2026 and urged state-level advocacy to allow counties to apply for those funds. - SNAP: Quinn said the reconciliation bill reduces federal SNAP support by about $186 billion over 10 years. He said that, in 2024, Clay County administered about $15,328,000 in SNAP benefit payments. Under a simple pro rata interpretation of the proposed penalty-share language, a 5% local share would represent about $766,000, a 10% share about $1.53 million and a 15% share about $2.3 million (statewide payment-error thresholds drive which share applies). - Error rates: Quinn noted Minnesota’s statewide SNAP payment-error rate was about 9% in 2024 and had reached 10% on July 2. By comparison Clay County’s SNAP error rate was 3%. Several commissioners stressed that the county’s low error rate should be part of advocacy to avoid penalizing high-performing counties.

Commissioners and staff discussed next steps. Commissioners asked staff to monitor changes, continue tracking county error-rate metrics and prepare materials for state legislators. Quinn urged the board to pursue advocacy at the state level and to pursue any available implementation grants for counties.

Ending: Quinn said staff will return with more detailed fiscal estimates and recommended advocacy items once federal and state guidance is issued. Commissioners signaled interest in a dedicated follow-up work session before the county sets its final 2026 levy.