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Mackinac Center warns of reliability risks, high costs of rapid net‑zero electricity transition

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Summary

Jason Hayes of the Mackinac Center told the House Committee on Energy a forthcoming study finds no inexpensive path to meet Michigan's CO2 reduction targets and warned that some rapid transitions could increase reliability risks.

Jason Hayes of the Mackinac Center told the House Committee on Energy a forthcoming study finds no inexpensive path to reach the CO2 reductions Michigan law requires and that some rapid transitions could raise reliability risks.

Hayes described two modeled scenarios. The wind/solar/battery (WSB) scenario—he said—relied primarily on weather‑dependent generation and battery storage and carried a modeled cost of about $360,000,000,000 through the study period; that scenario showed multiple capacity shortfalls in the model, including as much as “61 contiguous hours” of capacity shortfalls in January in one run. The…

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