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SDG&E details WINS risk-model upgrades, lifecycle-cost analysis and mitigation effectiveness
Summary
SDG&E told the Office of Energy Infrastructure Safety that it has consolidated risk‑modeling tools, increased Monte Carlo simulation scale, and added life‑cycle costs and risk‑aversion factors to evaluate wildfire mitigations over a 55‑year horizon.
San Diego Gas & Electric told the Office of Energy Infrastructure Safety that it has substantially upgraded its wildfire risk-analytics platform, merging planning and operations models, expanding Monte Carlo simulations, and adding life‑cycle costing and risk‑aversion inputs to inform mitigation choices.
“We've been working really hard the last probably 6 months to align requirements from WMP, RAMP, and 84,” Joaquin Sebastian, SDG&E’s wildfire risk analytics manager, said. “When we started running, the probabilistic calculations, we ran into a computational limitation. We were only able to run hundred thousand simulations. Then we moved to 1,000,000, and now we are in 5,000,000. And, hopefully, pretty soon, we can run up to 10,000,000 simulations.”
Model changes and capabilities described by SDG&E: - Platform…
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