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Panelists: October 7 attack altered Middle East balance; Iran’s network weakened but negotiations continue
Summary
Speakers at the Hinckley Forum said the October 7 attack and subsequent military actions reshaped regional power balances, weakening Iran’s influence in some theaters while accelerating U.S.-Iran negotiations. Analysts noted continued risks and a narrow set of negotiation issues: nuclear activity, ballistic missiles and proxy support.
At a Hinckley Forum at the University of Utah, panelists described a changed strategic balance in the Middle East since October 7, 2023 and outlined the central issues that U.S. negotiators and regional states still face.
Aaron Pilkington, a U.S. Air Force analyst in Middle East affairs, summarized shifts he said were visible following the Israel–Hamas war that began October 7, 2023. “Iran is losing hard,” Pilkington said during the discussion, arguing that the campaign of strikes by Israel and retaliatory exchanges exposed weaknesses in elements of Iran’s regional network and in…
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