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District consultant: birth rates falling, TK expansion and limited near-term housing mean stable district enrollment but localized capacity pressures
Summary
SchoolWorks presented demographic projections showing state-wide birth-rate declines, growth of TK as it expands to all 4-year-olds, roughly 9,000 potential housing units in the district but only about 1,400 likely to be occupied in six years, and a generally stable 6–12 student population with smaller incoming elementary cohorts.
The Washington Unified School District received a demographic and enrollment projection from SchoolWorks during the Feb. 27 board meeting that found relatively stable overall enrollment in the near term but important local variations that trustees should monitor.
Monique Sovall, the district’s chief business officer, introduced Ken Reynolds of SchoolWorks, who said the company identified roughly 9,000 potential housing units in the district’s planning documents but projects only about 1,400 of those units — “just over 200 a year” — would likely be occupied in the next six years because of market and financing constraints. Reynolds warned that the district’s projections are…
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