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Rep. LePak’s income-tax trigger bill advances after extended debate; 25-6 vote

2509699 · March 5, 2025
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Summary

A bill from Rep. LePak that would trigger gradual income tax cuts if total state collections cumulatively rise by $300 million advanced from committee after extended questioning about timing, economic cycles and safeguards. The panel voted 25-6 to give the measure a “do pass.”

Representative Kevin LePak, chairman of the House Appropriations and Budget Committee, presented House Bill 1539, a revenue-triggered plan that would reduce the state individual income tax rate by 0.25 percentage points each time year‑over‑year total state collections net a cumulative $300,000,000 increase.

The bill’s sponsor said the mechanism compares annual total collections reported by the Tax Commission and uses the December Board of Equalization (BOE) numbers and the end‑of‑fiscal‑year Tax Commission report as the reference points to determine whether the $300 million net threshold has been reached. LePak told members the trigger is intended to operate over many years and that, if the trigger were reached, the cut would be permanent unless a future legislature acted to restore rates.

Members pressed LePak on fiscal risk and implementation details. Representative Tammy Bennett asked whether now was an appropriate time to cut taxes given federal funding uncertainty; LePak replied that the trigger looks at multi‑decadal trends in total collections and is designed to smooth year‑to‑year swings. Representative Leader Munson asked what the typical household benefit would be; LePak said he had not calculated an average taxpayer’s dollar amount and framed the bill as structural rather than a targeted rebate.

Several members cited past downturns. Representative Blanstedt and others recalled the revenue collapse experienced in 2016–2017 tied to oil‑patch layoffs and asked what would happen if revenues fell after a cut. LePak said the bill does not include an automatic rollback if collections decline; instead, the trigger requires subsequent net positive collections totaling $300 million before another cut would occur. Representative Fugate sought clarification on whether the changes would be permanent; LePak answered that the bill’s reductions would be permanent unless later repealed by the legislature.

LePak described the look‑back as open‑ended: the trigger compares cumulative annual pluses and minuses from the first fiscal year the law is effective until the net $300 million is reached, at which point the trigger would take effect and then reset for the next increment. He also said the $300 million threshold is adjustable in future drafts.

Committee members asked for modeling. One member said staff produced a 37‑year lookback showing strong nominal growth in collections; LePak and staff said long‑term collections growth historically outpaced inflation and population growth in the data they reviewed, though they acknowledged substantial year‑to‑year volatility.

After roughly two hours of questions and back‑and‑forth about the bill’s safeguards, timeframe and likely fiscal effects, the committee voted to report HB1539 with a due‑pass recommendation, 25 ayes and 6 nays.

Votes at a glance: HB1539 — Motion: do pass; Vote: 25 ayes, 6 nays; Outcome: advanced from committee.