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UMass Donahue Institute presents updated Winchester enrollment study; projects recovery to 2019 levels by 2035 under two scenarios
Summary
Consultants from the UMass Donahue Institute presented an updated enrollment analysis for Winchester Public Schools that models a base and a high scenario through school year 2034-35, concluding that enrollment is likely to recover toward the 2019 peak but that outcomes depend on development, household turnover and regional job trends.
The UMass Donahue Institute presented an updated enrollment study for Winchester Public Schools, projecting two enrollment scenarios through the 2034-35 school year and outlining the demographic and economic drivers behind recent changes.
Branner, a UMass Donahue Institute researcher, and Jacob Harrington, an institute analyst, told the Educational Facilities Planning and Building Committee and the Winchester School Committee that Winchester saw steady K'12 enrollment growth through the 2010s, a decline during the pandemic years and a return to growth in the most recent year (an increase of 66 students from 2023-24 to 2024-25). The consultants attributed the recent recovery to household turnover,…
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