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Provo district staff present NWEA midyear results showing mixed progress and high predictive correlation
Summary
District staff told the board midyear NWEA data show strong correlations with end-of-year outcomes but growth fell short of predictive targets in math; scatter plots will guide targeted interventions and professional development.
Provo School District staff presented midyear assessment results showing strong statistical correlations between NWEA benchmark scores and expected end-of-year outcomes, but said growth to date is below the levels needed to meet district proficiency targets.
Nate Mitchell, staff member, told the Board that district-specific correlations between beginning-of-year NWEA scores and last year’s RISE results were “fantastically high.” He said correlations in the district approach the high end of the national range and that a 0.7 correlation (roughly 50 percent explanatory power when squared) is considered strong. “So we’re seeing 0.9 correlations,…
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