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Finance director’s long‑term model flags budget pressure; council discusses foregone, police staffing and capital timing
Summary
Finance presenter Doug Racine showed a long‑term forecasting tool that projects tighter revenue‑expense margins into 2030, highlighted capital budgeting and fund‑balance issues, and opened discussion about foregone levies, police staffing and service levels.
Doug Racine presented the City of Nampa’s long‑term financial forecast at a council workshop, showing multi‑year scenarios in which expenses could outpace revenues and producing a projected annual gap of roughly $2 million by 2030 under conservative assumptions.
Doug Racine (finance presenter) said the model uses historical trends and produces two bounding scenarios: a dollar‑growth scenario and a percentage‑growth scenario. Under the percentage‑growth scenario revenues grow more steeply and could reach a higher outcome; under the dollar‑growth scenario revenues are flatter. Racine told council the model puts General Government revenues and spending on trajectories that, if current trends hold, could leave the city with a recurring shortfall in the coming five years.
Why the forecast matters: staff tied the projections to real decisions council will face in the FY2026 budget cycle — police staffing, capital projects and whether to use levy “foregone” authority to add ongoing revenue. Racine and councilors discussed…
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