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Demographer forecasts fewer school‑age children; board begins planning path toward school consolidation
Summary
A district‑commissioned demographic study projects a 7.3% decline in K–8 enrollment over the next decade driven by an aging population and lower birth rates; staff said closing a school would save about $1.5–2 million in operational costs and outlined a phased process for community engagement and scenario modeling.
District demography consultants briefed trustees on a newly finalized forecast that projects a net decline in K–8 enrollment and outlined the next phase of work that could identify consolidation or school closure scenarios.
Stacy Goody presented the December 2024 demography report and walked the board through principal findings: the district is forecast to lose about 7.3 percent of K–8 enrollment (approximately 401 students) over the next 10 years, a trend the demographer attributed to an aging local population, lower fertility (resident total fertility rate below replacement), and relatively low housing…
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