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CREC adopts K–12 pupil membership counts and adjustment factors used for 2026 school aid budget
Summary
Conference principals adopted updated K–12 pupil membership estimates and adjustment factors; staff said the new counts are close to previous forecasts and reflect fall 2024 enrollment data.
The Consensus Revenue Estimating Conference adopted updated K–12 pupil membership counts and adjustment factors that will form the pupil basis for the 2026 executive school aid recommendation.
Beth Bullion of the State Budget Office, Jacqueline Mullen of the House Fiscal Agency and Ryan Bergam of the Senate Fiscal Agency presented revised membership counts that incorporate the fall 2024 enrollment snapshot. The agencies proposed a very small downward technical adjustment to the current fiscal year membership (a net change of roughly 700 pupils) and moderate declines in each of the next two years driven primarily by demographic trends and smaller incoming kindergarten cohorts.
Key figures the conference adopted by voice vote:
- FY 2024–25 (current year, membership blend): Local districts 1,230,300; public school academies 154,000; total projected membership 1,384,300 (net decline of ~6,558 from FY 2023–24). - FY 2025–26 projection: Total membership 1,377,100 (local districts 1,221,300; PSAs 155,800); projected decline ~7,200 from the prior year. - FY 2026–27 projection: Total membership 1,369,100; projected decline ~8,000 from FY 2025–26.
Staff also recommended continuing a $3.5 million general fund appropriation for nonpublic school dual enrollment (now administered in the MiLEAP budget) and presented pupil adjustment factors of 1.0052 for 2025–26 and 1.0058 for 2026–27. Conference principals moved to adopt the counts as presented; the transcript records a voice vote with an "aye" and no recorded opposition.
