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County study forecasts long-term jail bed shortfall unless case processing or detention practices change
Summary
Consultants told commissioners that, under current practices, Union County’s average daily jail population could reach about 657 by 2050 requiring roughly 822 beds; opening a larger facility could cause bookings to rise quickly and planners recommended evaluating operational, judicial and phasing options before committing to a total build-out.
Justice Planners and design partners presented an update Feb. 3 on Union County’s ongoing jail needs assessment, telling the Board of Commissioners that under current practices the county faces substantial jail bed needs over the coming decades.
Consultant Patrick Jablonski said the firm modeled bookings (people brought to the jail) and average length of stay to produce multiple simulations based on data through September 2024. Using the state demographer’s adult-population projections and local arrest and booking data, the consultants’ primary scenario…
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