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Legislative economists revise adult and youth prison forecasts: adult populations stabilize; youth detention shows recent uptick
Summary
Legislative Council principal economist Elizabeth Ramey briefed the Joint Judiciary Committee on updated forecasts for adult prison and parole populations and youth corrections caseloads. The report projects a stabilizing, lower adult prison population compared with pre‑pandemic levels, continued reliance on releases and admissions dynamics, and
Legislative Council economist Elizabeth Ramey presented updated prison and youth-corrections forecasts to the Joint Judiciary Committee on Jan. 29, reporting that adult prison and parole populations appear to be stabilizing at lower levels than before the pandemic while youth detention and commitment populations have seen recent upward pressure.
Ramey said the forecasts—prepared each year with Legislative Council staff—incorporate admission and release trends, sentencing changes, and operational constraints in corrections and juvenile services. The updated December 2024 forecast revised downward some expectations for the adult prison population because growth during the current fiscal year has been slower than expected; it revised upward the youth commitment…
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