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Demographer warns short-term enrollment slowed; board told long-term outlook largely unchanged
Summary
A Population & Survey Analyst update for Lake Travis ISD showed tapering student growth driven by fewer young children in the district and slower new‑home occupancy; the update is intended to guide short‑term staffing and planning rather than reset long‑term facility decisions.
Stacy Dipperra, population and survey analyst with PASA, told the Lake Travis Independent School District board on Wednesday that short‑term enrollment projections have been tweaked but there is no major long‑term change to the district’s 10‑year forecast.
“This is not going to be the 30 or 40 or 60 minute presentation that you heard last year,” Dipperra said, adding that the update is an “off year” review designed to help the district with staffing and next‑year planning.
The presentation summarized three drivers behind the revised projection: (1) fewer young children currently living in the district relative to last projections, especially at the kindergarten level; (2) slowing new‑home occupancy and a lower number of students per newly built home than in prior years; and (3) timing changes to several multifamily and…
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