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Idaho revenue forecast shows roughly $700 million structural surplus; governor proposes modest drawdown to fund 2026 budget

2676272 · January 8, 2025
AI-Generated Content: All content on this page was generated by AI to highlight key points from the meeting. For complete details and context, we recommend watching the full video. so we can fix them.

Summary

Keith Bybee, division manager of budget policy analysis for the Legislative Services Office, told JFAC the governor’s forecast shows a roughly $700 million structural surplus across FY2025–FY2026 and recommends leaving $338 million (FY2025) and $227 million (FY2026) in general-fund cash balances.

Keith Bybee, division manager of budget policy analysis for the Legislative Services Office, briefed the Joint Finance-Appropriations Committee on the state’s revenue and expenditure outlook for fiscal 2025 and 2026.

Bybee told the committee that the state’s revenue projections show a persistent delta between ongoing revenues and ongoing obligations: “you’re maintaining that delta of about $700,000,000 over the long term,” he said when describing structural balance under the governor’s forecast. He said the governor’s recommendation would leave a projected $338 million ending cash balance for FY2025 and a $227 million ending balance for FY2026.

The presentation traced why revenues rose rapidly during…

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