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Palo Alto staff: majority of gas mains unlikely to be abandoned until widespread electrification
Summary
City modeling shows large reductions in household gas use are required before many distribution mains could be retired; staff say preparations, funding options and coordination with climate committee will be needed as electrification advances.
Palo Alto staff told the Utilities Advisory Commission that under current assumptions neighborhoods would need very high levels of voluntary electrification before the city could abandon a large share of its natural‑gas mains.
The study, presented Oct. 24 by Jonathan Abenshine, assistant director of public works for climate action, modeled equipment and customer connections and ran simulations of 20, 40, 60 and 80 percent reductions in gas sales. The work estimates that, under a random‑adoption scenario, reductions on the order of 60 percent are required before even 10 percent of mains could be abandoned.
The report matters because the city is already pursuing policies to encourage electrification and the commission has repeatedly asked staff to quantify financial and operational impacts.…
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