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Demographic study finds Seaman USD 345 enrollment likely to decline about 250 students over five years
Summary
Consultant RSP presented a demographic study showing a projected enrollment decline across elementary, middle and high school grades; district capacity is likely to fall below 70% at the elementary level in coming years.
A consultant hired by Seaman USD 345 told the school board Sept. 8 that district enrollment is projected to fall by roughly 250 students over the next five years, with declines across elementary, middle and high school grade bands.
Rob (RSP) summarized a multi-part report that analyzed births, housing supply, building activity, in‑ and out‑migration and “yield rates” (how many students arise from new housing units). The firm’s five-year forecast shows districtwide enrollment falling from about 3,750 students to roughly 3,500 by the 2029–30 school year if current trends continue.
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