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Miami University researchers tell Beavercreek a 1% municipal income tax could yield about $19M–$20M in 2024 dollars

6489478 · September 9, 2025
AI-Generated Content: All content on this page was generated by AI to highlight key points from the meeting. For complete details and context, we recommend watching the full video. so we can fix them.

Summary

Researchers presented a synthetic-control analysis estimating that a 1% municipal income tax in Beavercreek would likely generate roughly $19–$20 million in 2024 dollars; the study assumes a full credit to residents for taxes paid elsewhere and that roughly two-thirds of collections would come from nonresidents who work in the city.

At its Sept. 8 meeting, the Beavercreek City Council heard a presentation from Miami University researchers who estimated that a 1% municipal income tax in Beavercreek would have produced roughly $19 million to $20 million in net collections in 2024 dollars under the study’s assumptions.

Dr. Sarah Larson, an associate professor in Miami’s political science department and a research fellow with the Center for Public Management and Regional Affairs, presented the report and synthetic-control modeling used to estimate revenue that Beavercreek would collect if it applied a 1% municipal income tax between 2013 and 2023.

The study used three comparator groupings of municipalities chosen for socioeconomic similarity and proximity to large federal employers (notably Wright-Patterson Air Force Base) and adjusted for a…

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