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Consultant projects modest district growth, secondary enrollment driving increases
Summary
RSP and Associates told the USD 383 board the district is likely to add roughly 90 students over five years, with most growth at middle and high school levels; the firm cited slower housing production and lower birth rates as constraints on elementary enrollment.
Jenna Wallace, a consultant with RSP and Associates, presented a 2024–25 enrollment analysis to the Manhattan-Ogden USD 383 Board of Education, telling the board the district is forecast to grow about 1.3 percent over five years — roughly 90 students — driven mainly by increases at middle and high school.
Wallace said the district’s secondary grades are expected to increase while elementary enrollment stabilizes or declines slightly. “The report that I'm gonna go through tonight, it's pretty lengthy. It's pretty comprehensive, but I'm gonna keep this more high level,” she told the board as she introduced the study’s methodology and key takeaways.
The analysis breaks the district into more than 400 planning-area “building blocks” to track household-level changes and better predict where students live and will enroll. Wallace said a combination of fewer live births and a…
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