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Demographers project rapid west-side growth in Alvin ISD; district could need four new elementary schools and one junior high over 10 years
Summary
A demographic study presented to the Alvin ISD board projects major housing-driven enrollment growth on the district's far west side, with the consultants estimating multiple new schools will be needed over the next decade under their baseline scenario.
Demographers presenting the district's annual enrollment forecast told the Alvin ISD Board of Trustees that sustained residential development on the district's west side is likely to drive substantial student enrollment growth over the next 10 years.
Stacy Tapera, president of Population Survey Analyst (PASA), and demographer Susan Cates summarized a neighborhood-by-neighborhood projection that combines birth rates, apartment and subdivision unit counts, recent student residency patterns and planned developments. They identified Meridiana, Massey Oaks, Caldwell Lakes/Crossing, Creek Haven and Valencia among the largest planned or active projects contributing to growth.
PASA's baseline…
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