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CDCR projects modest five-year prison population decline as Prop 36 effects evolve
Summary
CDCR told a Senate budget subcommittee that spring 2025 population projections show a 3.1% net decline in the state prison population through June 30, 2029, while officials said the full effects of Proposition 36 remain uncertain and will be monitored as implementation continues.
The California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation told the Senate Budget Subcommittee No. 5 on May 20 that spring 2025 projections show a net 3.1% decrease in the state prison population from June 30, 2024, to June 30, 2029.
Kathy Jefferson, deputy director for CDCR’s Office of Research, said CDCR bases projections on historical data and on expected impacts of legislation, policy and process changes in place through Dec. 31, 2024. Jefferson told the panel that the department factored Prop 36 implementation into…
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