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Demographer: Arlington ISD enrollment down; apartments and charter schools drive many departures
Summary
Zonda Education's spring demography update showed Arlington ISD enrollment fell by roughly 1,300 students this year, with most 'leavers' concentrated in apartment complexes and a substantial portion attending charter schools or homeschooling. The demographer said increasing kindergarten capture is the main lever to boost long‑term enrollment.
Rocky Gardner of Zonda Education told the Arlington ISD Board of Trustees on April 17 that the district's spring demographer update shows a modest drop in enrollment and notable patterns in where students who leave the district relocate.
Gardner said Texas Education Agency statewide enrollment data show recent growth but that the district recorded a drop of about 1,300 students this year, a somewhat larger decline than his forecast. Zonda's analysis identified roughly 8,500 "levers" (students present last year but not this year for grades 1–11); that figure is down about 1,000 from the previous year. Gardner said many of those leavers remain…
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