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Scotland County staff report lower sales-tax projection and $53.2M revenue baseline for FY26

3167897 · May 1, 2025
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Summary

County finance staff told commissioners that sales-tax forecasts declined by about $702,000 and provided a revised revenue projection of roughly $53.2 million for fiscal planning; property-tax budgeting assumptions were also adjusted.

County finance staff presented updated revenue projections for fiscal year 2026 and said they had revised several tax-line assumptions downward following state trend data and recent collections.

Staff told commissioners the sales-tax projection decreased by about $702,000 compared with earlier projections. "Sales tax number decreased 702,000," finance staff said, adding that state-level trend information and a broader economic slowdown informed the revision. The presentation included a total revenue projection of about $53,200,000 for the projection period, and staff said property-tax budgeting had been conservatively reset around $26,500,000 based on current collection rates.

The nut graf: The downward adjustment in sales-tax expectations and conservative property-tax budgeting reduce available discretionary revenue for next year's budget discussions and prompted questions from commissioners about the assumptions and data sources underlying the revisions.

Commissioners asked for the basis of the sales-tax change; staff explained the state advised caution because collections across the state had softened after prior years of stronger receipts. Staff reminded commissioners that the county budgets property tax revenue as a percentage of prior-year collections and noted a typical collection rate in recent years of 96% to 97%, which affects how much can be prudently budgeted.

Staff also acknowledged that certain line items (DSS numbers noted in the packet) remain under review and that the revenue projection could change slightly, but the updated total of $53.2 million was presented as the working figure for fiscal planning.

Ending: Commissioners continued discussion of the budget and were directed to use the updated revenue projections in forthcoming budget deliberations.