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Financial adviser: Arlington ISD can afford a modest bond now; larger program depends on sustained taxable-value growth
Summary
Hilltop Securities presented models April 17 showing Arlington ISD could issue a $300 million–$350 million bond program over 2026–2028 while maintaining the district’s I&S tax rate; a larger subsequent authorization (totaling several hundred million more) would require multi-year taxable-value growth and could affect rating metrics.
Hilltop Securities’ advisor George presented high-level modeling to the Arlington ISD Board of Trustees April 17 showing the district likely has capacity for a modest bond issuance in the near term while preserving its I&S tax rate, but that a substantially larger multi‑series program would require sustained taxable-value growth and could push key rating metrics higher.
George told trustees that “value is everything” when modeling debt capacity; his presentation assumed conservative taxable-value growth (5% for two years, then 2% for two years, then 1% thereafter) and modeled two initial authorizations — $300 million and $350 million — to be issued roughly 2026–2028. Under those assumptions, he said the district could issue the…
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