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HHS staff outline potential effects of new federal legislation on SNAP and Medicaid in North Carolina

5479132 · July 25, 2025
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Summary

A Buncombe County HHS briefing flagged major unknowns in implementing recent federal legislation, including expanded SNAP work requirements, reduced federal administrative and benefit cost shares, and new Medicaid work requirements and payment changes that could affect enrollment and county budgets.

Bill (HHS staff) briefed the board on a recently enacted federal bill that, according to his presentation, contains many provisions that will affect SNAP (food assistance) and Medicaid but leaves significant implementation details unresolved.

On SNAP, staff said the bill expands work requirements for able‑bodied adults without dependents (ABAWDs), narrows exemptions (homelessness would no longer be an automatic exemption), raises certain age thresholds for applicability, and requires verification of work or community service before benefits are approved. The presentation noted that administrative cost sharing will shift in October such that the federal share falls: staff described administration moving from a 50/50 federal/county match toward a model where federal support is reduced to 25% with the county or state covering the remainder. The presenter said that counties should expect higher administrative burden and lower federal reimbursement while facing possible reductions in caseload because of the new requirements.

County‑level estimates shared in the briefing included an estimated 1,800 Buncombe County individuals/cases who could lose SNAP benefits under the work‑requirement change. At the state level staff cited an estimate that about 9,000 adults in North Carolina could lose SNAP benefits. The presenter also discussed a projected $65 million annual increase in counties' administrative share statewide and up to $420 million annually in state/county benefit cost‑share exposure under certain error‑rate scenarios, noting that federal rules tie cost‑share adjustments to state error rates in program administration.

On Medicaid, the presenter described proposed new work requirements and more restrictive screening and documentation, reductions in retroactive coverage (from three months to two months generally and one month for expansion adults), changes to provider taxes and state‑directed payments, and more frequent recertification (moving from 12 months to six months). He flagged large projected impacts: the presentation cited an estimate that roughly 260,000 North Carolinians could lose Medicaid coverage under the new regime and said Buncombe County currently has more than 17,000 expansion cases on record. The presenter warned these changes could put pressure on hospitals and providers that rely on current Medicaid payment structures.

Presenters emphasized the many unknowns: final impacts will depend on forthcoming federal rule‑making (federal guidance expected in mid‑2026), how the North Carolina General Assembly chooses to allocate state funds or change state policy, and the state's administrative error rate (which affects federal cost‑share calculations). Board members were urged to consider advocacy directed to the state legislature and to monitor rule‑making and budget decisions closely. The briefing included a note that federal rule‑making contains a public comment period on proposed regulations (including proposals to verify immigration status for some federally funded services) and staff asked board members to consider submitting comments as individuals.

No board vote was requested; the presentation was informational and intended to flag areas for policy review and potential advocacy at the state level.