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Zonda forecast: Alvin ISD expects continued growth, projects about 585-student increase in coming year
Summary
A Zonda Demographics presentation to the Alvin ISD board projected continued enrollment growth driven by new housing activity and a long-term yield of roughly 0.5 students per new home; Zonda forecasted about 585 students of growth this forecast cycle and projected approximately 36,000 students in 10 years.
Rocky Gardner of Zonda Demographics told the Alvin ISD Board of Trustees that the district should expect continued enrollment growth over the next decade, tied largely to ongoing residential development in and around Alvin.
Gardner said the data he presented are based on fourth-quarter information collected through December. He reported strong housing activity in the greater Houston market — about 30,000 new homes per year in the metro area — and said Alvin’s starts and closings have remained steady, with roughly 1,500–1,700 home closings in the trailing 12 months. Gardner said the…
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