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Zonda projects CSISD enrollment to rise to mid‑14,000s over decade; several elementary campuses already above capacity
Summary
Paul Cash of Zonda Demographics told the College Station ISD Board on March 18 that the district’s housing and student‑yield trends, plus current sales patterns, support a projection of district enrollment rising to the mid‑14,000s within a decade and that several elementary campuses are already operating over capacity.
Paul Cash of Zonda Demographics presented a district demographic and housing update to the College Station ISD Board of Trustees at the March 18 workshop, laying out active subdivisions, housing‑market trends, student yields and a multi‑year enrollment forecast.
Cash said the district has 26 active subdivisions and six future subdivisions; the greatest new‑home activity is in the southeastern part of the district, within attendance zones for Pebble Creek and Forest Ridge elementary schools. He reported that existing single‑family home prices increased this year — the dataset showed average existing home prices above average new‑home prices — and that sales volume slowed as prices rose. Cash said those housing trends, combined with current interest‑rate conditions, influence the district’s near‑term enrollment growth.
Zonda’s yield analysis showed variation by development. For example,…
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