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Enrollment forecast shows continued decline; consultant proposes boundary changes and open-house timeline
Summary
Consultant Marcy Horner presented a geocoded student forecast showing projected enrollment declines through 2029 and proposed targeted elementary boundary changes to improve walkability and balance enrollments; the board scheduled open-house outreach and a special meeting in late January for possible approval.
A demography and boundary study presented to the Ogden City School District board projected continued declines in resident student enrollment over the next five years and outlined proposed elementary attendance-area boundary changes intended to improve walkability and balance capacity.
Marcy Horner of MGT Davis told the board the forecast is built on district student data, three years of historical enrollment, birth-rate and mobility factors, and a review of planned residential development. "Our methodology really stands on the student data," Horner said, describing the work to geocode student addresses, divide the district into…
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