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Cascadia modeling shows policy shifts reshape Mountain View's path to earlier carbon goals
Summary
Consultants presented greenhouse-gas forecasts showing that federal and state policies substantially affect Mountain View’s emissions projections; with the Clean Cars rule removed, local actions would need to address a much larger share of future emissions, particularly on‑road transportation.
Consultants contracted by the city presented a three‑scenario greenhouse‑gas forecast on June 26 that shows Mountain View’s ability to achieve accelerated carbon‑neutral targets (2035 or 2040) depends heavily on state and federal actions — and on the fate of vehicle‑emissions rules.
Cascadia Consulting told the Council Sustainability Committee that a “business as usual” scenario, which assumes no additional policies, would increase Mountain View’s community emissions well above the city’s 2022 baseline as population and employment grow. Under an “adjusted business as usual” scenario that includes expected federal, state and regional measures and current electric‑vehicle market trends, the city would still face higher emissions in 2035 and 2040 than in 2022, with reductions only materializing by 2045 in the model used.
Haley Weinberg of Cascadia summarized the model’s near‑term results: “Emissions are expected…
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